Timeline for Umineko no Naku Koro ni IV


Continuing the tradition of setting up a timeline as I did for the first arc, second arc, and third arc, here is a timeline for the fourth arc of Umineko no Naku Koro ni. As always, it is based on what was shown on screen, which cannot be trusted. In fact, certain red truths make it clear that some of the events described in the timeline could not have happened, at least in a literal sense. This story arc is very different from the others in that almost all of the significant events in the real world occurred in the first day.

October 4, 1986

Episode IV-I begins.
Other parents submit to Krauss the demand to see Kinzo.
Kinzo tells Krauss and Natsuhi that he will participate in family meeting.
Episode IV-II begins.
Maria gets back inside the mansion from the garden as it rains.
10:10PM
Episode IV-IV begins.
Kinzo participates in family meeting.
Natsuhi, Hideyoshi, Rudolf, Genji, Eva, and Rosa are killed.
Nanjo, Kyrie, Krauss, Kanon, and Shannon are taken prisoner.
Gohda and Kumasawa escape.
10:24PM
Maria has killed Rosa over a hundred times, presumably in her dreams.
Gohda and Kumasawa escape to room with grandchildren.
Krauss calls Jessica to stress safety.
11:00PM
Episode IV-V begins.
Kinzo forces Krauss to call Jessica about test.
Gohda and Kumasawa are locked in storehouse.
11:03PM
Kyrie calls Battler that Jessica is the first to be tested.
Jessica receives her test.
George receives his test.
11:30PM
Episode IV-VI begins.
Krauss, Kyrie, Nanjo, Shannon, and Kanon escape.
George and Jessica are killed.
Jessica calls Battler from her room.
Kanon, Shannon, Nanjo, and Krauss are killed.
Kyrie calls Battler from the kitchen.
11:46PM
Kyrie is killed.
Beatrice calls Maria and Battler.
Battler finds Gohda and Kumasawa dead in locked storehouse.
Battler encounters Beatrice, who subsequently gives up game.
Beatrice burns Kinzo to death.
11:59PM
In meta world, Beatrice and Battler resume game.

1998

Episode IV-I begins.
Ange escapes from Sumadera Kasumi.
Episode IV-II begins.
Ange meets Rokkenjima otaku.
Episode IV-III begins.
Ange and Amakusa take boat to Niijima.
Sumadera Kasumi and her lackeys arrive at local airport.
Episode IV-V begins.
Ange meets Nanjo Masayuki and Kumasawa Sabakichi about mysterious letters.
Ange meets Kawabata about getting to Rokkenjima.
Episode IV-VII begins.
Ange and Amakusa arrive at Rokkenjima with help from Kawabata.
Ange encounters Sumadera Kasumi and lackeys.
Sumadera Kasumi and lackeys are killed.
Eva appears and is killed.

Red and blue truths

This story arc introduced the use of blue truths, which are declarations that must be properly countered by a red truth, otherwise one concedes defeat. It is a way to force an opponent to reveal a red truth instead of allowing them to refuse to state anything in red whenever they want. Red truths, of course, state things that are definitely true (unless Battler and we were being epically trolled for the past several story arcs). Below are the red and blue truths declared in this arc.

Battler, in blue, later countered by Beatrice:

  • Ushiromiya Kinzo is already dead. Thus there are really 17 people on the island. With the addition of an unknown person X, the number of people on the island becomes 18. Assuming the existence of this person, the crime is still possible even if all 17 people have alibis.

Battler, in red:

  • The mother of Ushiromiya Battler is Ushiromiya Asumu.

However, Battler was unable to say “I was born from Ushiromiya Asumu” in red.

Ange said that Beatrice declared the following in red, although it was not explicitly shown as red on screen when Beatrice had said it:

  • Ushiromiya Battler is not the son of Ushiromiya Asumu.
  • Only Battler, a grandchild of Kinzo, is qualified to be Beatrice’s opponent

Beatrice is unable or unwilling to say “Ushiromiya Battler is not a grandchild of Ushiromiya Kinzo” in red.

Ange, in blue, which Beatrice does not counter:

  • The one who has the right to be Beato’s opponent is Ushiromiya Battler, a grandchild of Ushiromiya Kinzo, and it is irrelevant whether he is the son of Asumu or not.

Battler, in blue, which Beatrice counters soon after:

  • Ushiromiya Kinzo was already dead at the start of the game! Accordingly, the true number of people on the island is seventeen! With an unknown person X added to their midst, the number is eighteen! With the existence of this person X, even if all seventeen people had alibis, the crime by person X becomes possible!
  • (Concerning third round, starting with six initial murders.) It can be explained by postulating that Aunt Eva was working with the perpetuator! The murder of Doctor Nanjo can also be explained with the eighteenth person, the unknown person X!
  • (Concerning deaths in fourth round, starting with six initial murders.) The eighteenth person X firing a gun indiscriminately, George, Jessica, and those who escaped from the underground prison were killed: this explanation leaves no questionable point!

Presumably Beatrice declares in red that everyone who participated in the family meeting of episode IV-IV accepted the existence of Kinzo in the fourth round, although this is not shown in red. Otherwise, there is no point in Battler declaring the following in blue:

  • Ushiromiya Kinzo is already dead! However, someone inherited his name, and everyone acknowledged it! Through this, everyone present at the family meeting recognized the existence of Kinzo!

Beatrice is unable or unwilling to say “Among everyone, there exists no person who has multiple names” in red.

Beatrice, in red:

  • There are not eighteen or more people on this island.
  • In other words, an eighteenth person X does not exist.
  • This applies to all the games.

With Battler’s theory that there is an unknown person on the island excluded, he makes the following speculations, which presumably should be in blue but are not. Otherwise, they aren’t attacks that should hurt Beatrice. The animators probably stopped using blue and red lest viewers start thinking they’re color blind, but there should at least have been some stylistic hint that certain statements were blue or red. Or there could have been there, but the stylistic cues were so subtle that I missed them.

  • For the first round, there is no problem with the initial six victims from episode I-II since anyone without an alibi could have done it.
  • The murders of Genji, Nanjo, and Kumasawa in episode I-IV can be explained by a killer X who faked their death. If this doesn’t work, Genji, Nanjo, and Kumasawa might have shot each other, with Maria hiding the guns afterward. (Beatrice said that Maria did not kill them and that they were indeed murdered, which presumably should have been done in red.)
  • For the second round, the initial six victims from episode II-III ate food containing high explosives, which resulted in their guts exploding.
  • For the six initial murders and the associated composite locked room mystery from episode III-III in the third round: it is not a locked room mystery at all, since the killer could have just pretended to have found one of the keys on one of the bodies while having carried it all along.
  • For Nanjo’s murder from episode III-VI in the third round: someone only pretended to have been killed, who would then go on to kill Nanjo, and then ended up dead, anyway, allowing EvaBeatrice a timing trick in declaring a person dead.

In the end, the heart of Beatrice says the following, which presumably should be but is not shown in red:

  • Ushiromiya Battler, there is no one besides you on this island now. The only one alive on this island is you. And yet I am here, and I will be killing you. Who am I? Who am I?

  1. #1 by Marion on December 26, 2009 - 6:28 am

    Pretty much everything Beato said during the battle should have been in red and same goes for Battler in blue, but DEEN must have withered down their budget so much they couldn’t even do that.

  2. #2 by Ian on December 26, 2009 - 6:30 am

    Okay then, I guess it’s safe to reveal to you what the anime could not provide: the entire exchange of red and blue text in the sound novel. And there was A LOT more red here. Things should make more sense with this. Note that all the text that I will use is taken from the red and blue text from the novel, word for word, and nothing in between.

    NOTE: All of Battler’s lines hereafter are in blue. Similarly, Beatrice’s lines are in red. Also, the events being referred to are labeled in an attempt to prevent confusion.

    Battler’s First Move:

    Battler: Ushiromiya Kinzo is already dead! So the true number of people on the island is 17! By adding in an unknown person X, that makes 18 people. By supposing the existence of this person X, the crime is possible even if all 17 people have alibis. By this, even though the number of people reaches 18, it is still possible for culprit X to exist and carry out the crime even if all 18 people seem to have alibis!!

    Second Game – Fourth, Fifth, and Sixth Twilights (Shannon, Gohda, and George):

    Beatrice: All of the master keys were under Rosa’s control!

    Battler: Rosa oba-san handed a key over to culprit X by some method, assisting in the closed room murder! And after that, she retrieved the key by a similar method!

    Third Game – First through Ninth Twilights (Kinzo, Genji, Shannon, Kanon, Gohda, Kumasawa, Rosa, Maria, Rudolf, Hideyoshi, Kyrie, Krauss, Natsuhi, and George):

    Battler: […] can be explained if we suppose that Eva oba-san was the culprit.

    Battler: […] the murder of Doctor Nanjo can be explained with an 18th unknown person X.

    Beatrice: George did not go down the stairs of the guesthouse.

    Beatrice: All windows and doors leading to the outside were locked from the inside. Furthermore, it is impossible to lock any of those from the outside!

    Battler: In that case, everything works out as long as someone locked the window after George-aniki escaped through it!

    Fourth Game – First Twilight (Natsuhi, Rudolf, Hideyoshi, Genji, Eva, and Rosa):

    Battler: The 18th person X went wild with a gun and killed everyone. Regarding the pitfalls, there is a chance that pitfalls truly were hidden there, and it’s possible to explain Kyrie-san’s theory, supposing that poison dart-shooting device X which can knock a person out instantly exists. The murders of George-aniki, Jessica, and those who escaped from the dungeon can also be explained with guns, just like the dining hall.

    Beatrice: All of those who met at the family conference recognized the existence of Kinzo!

    Battler: That Grandfather was a different person, a body double. A different person who the relatives mistook for Grandfather!

    Beatrice: No person would mistake Ushiromiya Kinzo by sight. No matter what the disguise, they would not mistake Kinzo!

    Battler: By proclaiming with the red truth in the second game that the true number of master keys was five, when the first game the number could have been more than five, you changed the premises of the later games. In the same way, there is a possibility that Kinzo’s life or death status was changed for the 4th game. Therefore, Kinzo’s existence in the fourth game does not serve as proof that he existed in the previous games…! Therefore, even if we suppose that the six murders in the dining hall were carried out by Grandfather, it doesn’t create any contradictions!

    Beatrice: Kinzo’s life or death status is the same at the start of each of the four games. The setup was not different for the fourth game alone…!

    Battler: (to Kinzo) My theory is that Kinzo’s name is passed on as the title of the Ushiromiya family head! Ushiromiya Kinzo was already dead. And he passed ‘that name’ on to someone else! Everyone acknowledged that!! That way, ‘All of those who met at the family conference recognized the existence of Kinzo’!! There wasn’t even any need to disguise themselves as Grandfather. Because everyone recognized a new ‘Kinzo’! Therefore, ‘they didn’t actually mistake Kinzo by sight’!! As long as the preceding theory is not denied, nothing can change the fact that you are dead!!!

    Battler: (to Kinzo) Ushiromiya Kinzo was dead! That’s right, you sure are pitiable, since whenever we find your corpse, it’s always completely burnt. That was a device to make it so that no one noticed the fact that time had passed before your death!! And you passed that name onto someone else!! With the previous theory, even though ‘you’ were dead, ‘Kinzo’ was able to appear at the family conference!!! How’s that? This is checkmaaaaaaaaaaaate!!

    Fourth Game – Second through Tenth Twilights (George, Jessica, Kanon, Shannon, Nanjo, Krauss, Kyrie, Gohda, Kumasawa, and Maria):

    Battler: George-aniki and Jessica’s deaths in the fourth game can also be explained by culprit X!! And the five who escaped from the dungeon and were killed, and the two in the gardening shed, and even Maria in the end! All of those can be explained with 18th person X!! There’s nothing strange at all!!

    Beatrice’s Trump Card:

    Beatrice: Kinzo is already dead at the starting time of all the games!

    Beatrice: Before now, I have proclaimed that no more than 18 humans exist on this island. I will lower that by one for Kinzo!! No more than 17 humans exist on this island!! That excludes any 18th person. In short, this 18th person does not exist!! This applies to all games!!!

    First Game – First Twilight (Krauss, Rudolf, Kyrie, Rosa, Shannon, and Gohda)

    Battler: There is nothing strange about the murder of the six relatives that were found in the gardening shed in the beginning! The crime was possible for any of those who didn’t have an alibi!!

    First Game – Second Twilight (Eva and Hideyoshi):

    Beatrice: Both were killed by another person! It is not the case that, after the reconstruction of the closed room, one of them committed suicide after committing murder! Furthermore, the murder was carried out with both the victim and the perpetrator in the same room! No method exists for the perpetrator to commit murder from outside the room!

    Battler: Suppose the culprit was a human without an alibi. In other words, the dead! Among the first six corpses, there were some made unidentifiable because their faces were smashed. One possible theory is that one was actually a fake corpse, and that the culprit X killed those two after pretending to be a victim and hiding away! Then after the closed room murder was constructed, the culprit hid under the bed, and waited for all of us to leave!!

    First Game – Fifth Twilight (Kanon):

    Beatrice: All of the survivors have alibis! Let us include the dead as well!! In short, no kind of human or dead person on the island could have killed Kanon!

    Battler: If no one could kill him, then he might have been the one to kill!! Meaning Kanon-kun might have killed himself.

    Beatrice: Kanon did not commit suicide.

    Battler: Kanon-kun died for a reason that was neither suicide nor homicide. The details are unknown, but he died from an accident. Due to the Devil’s Proof, I refuse to explain what kind of blunder could have led to an accidental death where a stake was driven into his chest!!

    First Game – Sixth, Seventh, and Eighth Twilights (Genji, Nanjo, and Kumasawa):

    Beatrice: Maria, who was in the same room, did not kill them! And of course, the three were killed by other people!

    Battler: We can explain the one who performed the murder with culprit X, who hid away using an unidentified corpse. In the first place, their three faces were also smashed. It’s completely possible that one of them was a body-double corpse!

    Beatrice: Regarding unidentified corpses, all of their identities are guaranteed. Therefore, no body double tricks exist!

    Battler: Then you can explain it with simultaneous murders. Each of them had a gun, pointed it clockwise, and blew each others’ faces off at the same time! After that, Maria collected those guns and hid them!!

    First Game – Ninth Twilight (Natsuhi):

    Beatrice: Natsuhi was killed by another person! There are no unidentified corpses, and all of the survivors have alibis!

    Battler: You can explain it with an indirect murder due to trap X! Something was done to Natsuhi oba-san’s gun. You can explain it if that was a trap gun, built to send a bullet right into the forehead of anyone who tried to hold it up and shoot it!!

    Beatrice: The bullet buried into Natsuhi’s forehead was not fired from Natsuhi’s gun!

    Battler: There is the possibility that Natsuhi oba-san was lured out by that letter of unknown contents! And she was called out into the hall. Then, she was forced into standing at a specified location at a specified time and murdered by trap X, which used a gun that had been installed there beforehand!!

    Second Game – First Twilight (Krauss, Natsuhi, Eva, Hideyoshi, Rudolf, and Kyrie):

    Battler: Someone secretly borrowed Maria’s key, and secretly returned it to Maria’s bag after the crime was over!!

    Beatrice: Starting when Maria’s key was received, and until the instant Rosa unsealed it the next day, it passed through no one’s hands!!

    Battler: There is the possibility that the door had an auto-lock like Gramps’ study. In other words, it was unlocked before the crime, with a rock or something wedged in so that it couldn’t close completely. Then they gave the key to Maria. Because the lock was automatic, it is possible to make a theory where the key wasn’t needed!

    Beatrice: No door with an auto-lock exists other than Kinzo’s study!

    Battler: The victims locked the door from the inside. One of the six was the culprit, and this person killed the other five, then pretended to be dead!!

    Beatrice: The six people were already dead by the time they were discovered! All were killed by other people! All six were genuine victims, and did not take part in a mutual murder! There was no simultaneous murder!!

    Battler: A human, perhaps Kumasawa-san, existed with no alibi at the time. If we assume that someone was hiding on the inside, then there are no problems!

    Beatrice: There was no one hiding in the chapel. By this, a shut-in murder like you say does not work!

    Battler: The food they were given had small bombs in it, which exploded from inside their stomachs. In other words, the crime is possible through trap X! The details of a bomb that they could swallow without noticing and that could blow open their stomachs is a Devil’s Proof! I refuse to explain!!

    Second Game – Second Twilight (Jessica and Kanon):

    Battler: If the culprit was one of the servants, they could have used a master key. It’s not even a closed room!

    Battler: If Kanon-kun’s death was proclaimed with the red, there’s no way he was alive. Therefore, there is a chance that the one who attacked that group was in a disguise to make the group mistake them for Kanon-kun!

    Beatrice: They definitely would not mistake any different person for Kanon!

    Then, just like the heredity of Kinzo’s name, there is a possibility that Kanon’s name was inherited by someone. You could suppose that Kanon-kun was killed, a different person succeeded that name, and that this person attacked them!!

    Third Game – First Twilight (Kinzo, Genji, Shannon, Kanon, Gohda, and Kumasawa):

    Battler: There are plenty of people who could have committed the crime besides Gramps! You could even claim that all of the adults who were there throughout the family conference were in on the crime!

    Beatrice: All five master keys were discovered, each in the pocket of one of the servants! The individual keys were found inside envelopes alongside the corpses! In short, all keys related to the linked closed rooms were locked inside the linked closed rooms!! The keys cannot be returned from outside the room using the crack of the door, the crack of the window, vents or any place of the sort!!

    Battler: Then they were killed with poison gas! Even if a key couldn’t pass through, gas could, right?! The murder was carried out from outside the closed room!!

    Beatrice: All of them had wounds resembling gunshot wounds which became fatal! It is impossible for the murder to have taken place from outside the room!! I shall say more with the red! When the five other than Kinzo were murdered, the murderer was definitely in the same room! I already proclaimed in red at the time that there were no suicides!!

    Battler: After the murder of each person in their respective rooms, the culprit created a linked closed room. But the culprit just couldn’t return the key for the last room to the inside of that closed room no matter what they did. But they were able to return it. The first person to discover a corpse just had to pretend to find the key and show that they’d pulled it from the pocket of one of the corpses!!

    Third Game – Ninth Twilight (Nanjo):

    Battler: However, their deaths were not proclaimed in red at the instant Doctor Nanjo died. Strictly speaking, it was in the fight between me and EVA after Doctor Nanjo’s corpse was found. In other words, if someone who was alive at the time Doctor Nanjo was killed died before EVA proclaimed that death, you can sew right through that crack!! In other words, it’s like this. One of those who were first made dead by EVA’s proclamation of the deaths, was able to skillfully play dead earlier and wait for us to pass by…! And while their death still hadn’t been proclaimed with the red, we were made to think that they had died. Then they killed Doctor Nanjo, ……and later died for some reason! Then after that, EVA proclaimed their death in red!!

    Beatrice’s Final Mystery:

    Beatrice: Ushiromiya Battler. I will now…kill you.

    Beatrice: And right now, there is no one other than you on this island. The only one alive on this island is you. Nothing outside the island can interfere.

    Beatrice: You are all alone on this island. And of course, I am not you. Yet I am here, now, and will kill you.

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